Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and leave our college football picks on the Monday night match between the Louisville Cardinals and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and then I will detract to dip our toes into uncharted waters.
It will almost certainly be the first and only time this season we do so, as the last week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster in comparison to some regular-season sport of NCAA football featuring one of the top clubs in the nation, and a mythical soccer program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets begin the discussion after my friend Doug Upstone got the better of me last week while the Titans were backed by me. Weve been placing wins back and forth so it appears like it is my turn to the wreath, as I endorse the Irish and will accompany the squares laying the lumber on a road favorite.
After reviewing the college football odds almost six days before this Monday night event, I see that the line has spiked a half-point on the favorite, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its now offered at a solid -20 across the board whatsoever of the very best online sportsbooks.
Youre currently leaning onto the Cardinals although doug, I love the Irish. Other than the venue is it that you believe Louisville could hang with the boys out of South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yup a convincing win and IMO, it said a lot about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Lets move to football, so will our records with this one and where the games rely.
Remember those Thursday night matches Louisville utilized to play against big-name opponents? They held their engineered and own upsets. These were fun games and also the Cardinals were an golf club.
However, for example the former Papa Johns Stadium and its counterfeit (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last year was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield are out to alter the culture and win games and worked miracles. This wont happen immediately as the ability level is down in theVille. This is a time for Louisville, a team that has the opportunity.
I have read in which the Cards coaches have popped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and that I enjoy Hassan Hall because the lead running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins the shield, well, which makes me more nervous. You have up your Irish please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing much as the Notre Dame defense will keep them cozy inside their nest, flying in the game. Scott Satterfield is now in the big leagues and he has a group coming off of a dismal album last year, in which they went winless. This rebuild is comparable to trying to turn it in an F-22 Raptor and carrying a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is confronting a group which made it to the CFP this past year and possessed one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points over the normal season and going a perfect 12-0 until they met Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense clicked on all cylinders averaging 33 points per match over.
So, my issue is, just how is a quarterback like Pass whos slow to release, supposed to gain any traction against a shield? Especially when hes working with an offensive strategy that is entirely new and a new coach?
Please, Doug, save me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form in which Louisville will have the ability to keep pace and Im desperate for your sage wisdom and prodigious handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, I am pleased to see in your last sentence youre coming on to the bright side of sport gambling, or youre just being the exact wise a** you are. I will allow the SBR readers who are making this is decided on by college football picks. I am the first to realize Louisville was 1-11 ATS, although not only 2-10 and sucked final season.
But that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, just like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons. A new mindset is brought by A new coach and this being a game, Satterfield can market his team. Louisville does have to expect the Irish will take them for granted and not have a lot of fight.
Let us also consider, Brian Kelly using all the blue and gold is only 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, also a mere 7-9-1 ATS, when dishing out 20 or more specimens. That defense you mentioned might improve as the season progresses but replacing five starters, even if you dont/can not recruit like Bama or Clemson, it is going to take time.
I was a bit facetious because though youve got an handicapping that was impressive resumethat you miss the mark from time to time. And in this event, because Louisville may be better compared to last season but I would submit that they could be trained with a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their record left by an coach such as Petrino, you happen to be shooting blanks.
I know that laying nearly 3 touchdowns on the street would be square biz for certain along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy street chalk, but sometimes the public is correct, and in this situation they certainly are. Until once we get down on our NFL Game of the Week, next week, let us see what happens on Monday once the Irish come prepared to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)